Varese vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
EMP
1 - 1
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FRO
1 - 1
CTT
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
FRO
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
FRO
0 - 1
ATL
23%
27%
49%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FRO
1 - 1
PIA
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
EMP
2 - 1
FRO
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |