Varese vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOR
86%
11%
4%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
VAR
86%
11%
4%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
VAR
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
VAR
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 2
CAS
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
SER
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |