Varese vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
DER
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
INV
1 - 0
VAR
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 3
PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
VAR
9%
20%
71%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
ABA
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 2
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CJA
2 - 0
MAN
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 2
VIR
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |