Varese vs FC Carpenedolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACL
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PER
1 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 1
ACM
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
VAR
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 2
SAS
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ACM
1 - 0
FSD
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ACR
0 - 1
FSD
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FSD
2 - 0
CUN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
FCS
1 - 0
FSD
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
FSD
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |