Varese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 1
CES
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 1
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 2
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 2
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
ARZ
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASL
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 0
ARZ
50%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |