ASPL 2000 vs Petite Rivière Noire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPL 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
PAM
1 - 0
APL
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
APL
1 - 1
SAV
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
APL
3 - 1
PAM
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CLU
4 - 2
APL
90%
8%
2%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
APL
1 - 2
CLU
4%
12%
84%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Petite Rivière Noire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
PET
1 - 0
QUA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CER
1 - 2
PET
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
PET
1 - 4
SAV
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GRS
1 - 3
PET
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PET
0 - 1
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -11 |