ASPL 2000 vs Pamplemousses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPL 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
PET
2 - 0
APL
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
APL
0 - 1
ASD
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
APL
3 - 3
GRS
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CHE
0 - 2
APL
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
APL
0 - 1
CER
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pamplemousses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
PAM
1 - 2
CER
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAM
1 - 1
ENT
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
PAM
3 - 4
CHE
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
PAM
0 - 1
PET
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 1
PAM
34%
25%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |