As Pontes vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
ASP
38%
26%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 0
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ASP
0 - 0
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
MES
2 - 2
ASP
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ASP
0 - 1
RVI
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SOM
2 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CER
1 - 0
SOM
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
NEG
0 - 1
SOM
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 2
ORD
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ALO
1 - 2
SOM
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |