As Pontes vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 0
ASP
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASP
1 - 5
BER
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
VIV
2 - 1
ASP
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ASP
0 - 0
LEM
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
ASP
1 - 2
LEM
25%
29%
46%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +10 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NOI
1 - 5
FOZ
66%
19%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 1
NOI
12%
20%
67%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
NOI
2 - 1
LAR
38%
26%
36%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
OUT
0 - 2
NOI
28%
25%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
NOI
2 - 0
VIS
21%
31%
48%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +5 |