As Pontes vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FOZ
0 - 1
ASP
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ASP
3 - 2
ORD
90%
8%
3%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASP
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ART
1 - 1
ASP
12%
18%
71%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ASP
2 - 1
ARZ
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NEG
1 - 3
ARZ
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VIV
3 - 1
NEG
88%
9%
4%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NEG
2 - 0
AGR
70%
18%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 1
NEG
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NEG
0 - 3
DUB
49%
24%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |