Novazzano vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
IBA
3 - 2
NOV
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
FCC
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 0
NOV
31%
21%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 0
NOV
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
GOL
42%
21%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MEN
1 - 1
GOL
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 1
MEN
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
MEN
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MEN
1 - 4
EMM
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |