Novazzano vs Ibach analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

52.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%

21%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

8.8%

2-2

6.6%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

21%

26.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Novazzano

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 Nov. 2019	NOV 0 - 1 HER 60% 19% 21%	27	22	5	0
06 Nov. 2019	NOV 0 - 3 FCC 65% 18% 17%	27	22	5	0
26 Oct. 2019	EMM 4 - 3 NOV 38% 22% 40%	28	25	3	-1
16 Oct. 2019	PER 0 - 2 NOV 32% 21% 47%	28	23	5	0
13 Oct. 2019	NOV 3 - 1 FCS 58% 20% 23%	27	24	3	+1

Matches

Ibach

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Nov. 2019	RTK 4 - 0 IBA 75% 14% 11%	25	34	9	0
26 Oct. 2019	IBA 1 - 0 TAV 30% 24% 46%	25	29	4	0
20 Oct. 2019	MEN 2 - 3 IBA 68% 19% 13%	24	34	10	+1
16 Oct. 2019	IBA 2 - 1 FCA 51% 21% 27%	24	21	3	0
12 Oct. 2019	WIL 3 - 1 IBA 51% 20% 28%	25	23	2	-1