Melfi vs Teramo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
ASM
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
ARZ
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
VIG
30%
27%
43%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
PAG
34%
27%
39%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
ASM
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Teramo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
VNZ
3 - 2
TER
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATE
1 - 1
TER
20%
24%
55%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
RIC
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIS
2 - 1
TER
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TER
1 - 3
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |