Melfi vs Ischia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASM
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
USF
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 0
ASM
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASM
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AKR
2 - 0
ISC
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
2 - 0
CAT
10%
22%
68%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 3
ISC
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 0
MES
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 2
ISC
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |