Melfi vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
ASM
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
RAA
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASM
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
GAV
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
CHI
28%
27%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 3
PON
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ASD
34%
25%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAA
1 - 1
ARZ
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAQ
3 - 1
ARZ
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |