AS Marsa vs US Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
STA
2 - 1
ASD
37%
31%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ASD
2 - 1
SPO
67%
22%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 0
SPO
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
ASD
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ASD
3 - 0
JEN
49%
29%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 0
ODK
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
EMM
0 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 1
EAM
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ESB
2 - 0
BEN
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 0
GAB
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |