AS-FAN vs Espoir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS-FAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AFA
3 - 1
AKO
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
AFA
0 - 0
OLY
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
POL
0 - 0
AFA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
DNI
4 - 0
AFA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAH
0 - 1
AFA
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Espoir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
AKO
1 - 1
ESP
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
URA
1 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
POL
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 5
NIG
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |