ASPAC vs Buffles de Borgou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AKA
0 - 0
ASP
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ASP
0 - 2
POL
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ADJ
0 - 0
ASP
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 0
ASP
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASP
0 - 0
SEM
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Buffles de Borgou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
BUF
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BUF
1 - 0
SEM
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
POL
1 - 0
BUF
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ADJ
1 - 0
BUF
49%
25%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BUF
1 - 1
ASO
47%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |