AS du Kaloum Star vs Horoya AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
29%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
13º
10º
46
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 48 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 47 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
75% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS du Kaloum Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
ASD
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 1
SAT
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 0
SEQ
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CIK
2 - 3
ASD
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WAC
0 - 0
ASD
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Horoya AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
COC
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ASM
1 - 0
HOR
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 2
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 0
CIK
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
HOR
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |