Cittadella vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PES
1 - 2
CTT
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CTT
0 - 1
ACD
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EMP
0 - 1
CTT
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
CTT
4 - 0
CES
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CTT
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
USC
3 - 3
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
FRO
0 - 0
USC
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
USC
0 - 0
PES
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
USC
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
USC
1 - 1
CAR
28%
30%
43%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |