Cittadella vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ABN
2 - 0
CTT
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
CTT
1 - 0
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CTT
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
ACL
1 - 1
CTT
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
CTT
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 1
SIE
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
ABN
2 - 0
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPA
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 0
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |