Cittadella vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
SOR
2 - 1
CTT
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 1
CTT
41%
29%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
GIU
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
USF
1 - 0
CTT
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
MOD
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRE
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CAT
0 - 1
MOD
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |