Cittadella vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
CTT
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 2
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 0
CTT
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CTT
3 - 1
ANC
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAL
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
EMP
0 - 0
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |