Cittadella vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 0
CTT
41%
29%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CTT
2 - 0
SSS
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 1
CTT
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CTT
2 - 1
SAL
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
TER
4 - 0
CTT
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
SAL
21%
27%
52%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
PAV
24%
27%
48%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
RAV
3 - 1
FER
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
GIU
35%
30%
36%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |