Cittadella vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
REG
0 - 2
CTT
14%
24%
62%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 0
CTT
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
CTT
2 - 2
LEC
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
CTT
1 - 0
FRO
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
REG
1 - 3
CTT
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
EMP
1 - 1
ASC
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ASC
2 - 0
SPA
27%
27%
45%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ASS
2 - 0
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
VIC
2 - 1
ASC
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |