Cannes vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
14º
2º
35
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 46 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 40 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 34 |
13º
|
45.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 5
CAN
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MOA
1 - 1
CAN
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ESG
0 - 2
CAN
10%
17%
73%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
HYE
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
IST
0 - 4
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
IST
3 - 1
SPO
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
IST
4 - 0
SCR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
IST
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
IST
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |