SSC Bari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
LEC
0 - 3
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
MES
0 - 2
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
MES
2 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
ASS
0 - 0
MES
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
MES
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
MES
1 - 0
SSS
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |