SSC Bari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 1
FRO
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 2
BAR
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABN
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 1
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 2
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CES
0 - 3
ABN
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 0
CES
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |