Arzew vs MO Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
USB
1 - 0
ARZ
39%
28%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2008 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
SET
3 - 0
ARZ
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
ARZ
0 - 1
KOU
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
MOB
1 - 0
ARZ
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MO Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
CON
0 - 0
CAB
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2008 |
CON
0 - 1
CON
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
CON
5 - 2
MOH
44%
29%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 0
CON
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
CON
1 - 1
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |