Arzew vs Drean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 0
ARZ
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
ARZ
1 - 1
EUL
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
REG
1 - 0
ARZ
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
ARZ
3 - 1
MSP
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
ARZ
4 - 0
USM
55%
24%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Drean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2007 |
DRE
0 - 0
CAB
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
DRE
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
DRE
1 - 0
MOH
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
3 - 1
DRE
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
DRE
3 - 2
CHE
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |