Arzachena vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
LAN
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
ARZ
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIE
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
ARZ
32%
28%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 1
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
RIE
9%
18%
74%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OST
3 - 1
SSD
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 3
MON
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
0 - 0
SSD
78%
17%
6%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 1
ULD
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |