Arzachena vs Lanusei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRO
4 - 2
ARZ
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 2
ARZ
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
TRA
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAS
2 - 1
ARZ
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FLA
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 1
CYN
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 1
OLB
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
LAN
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
AST
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIE
4 - 1
LAN
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |