Arucas vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
UDG
3 - 0
ARU
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARU
3 - 0
UDL
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
UPR
0 - 2
ARU
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ARU
1 - 0
UDS
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
CDG
1 - 2
ARU
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
UDS
4 - 2
CFP
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
UDS
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
UDS
3 - 1
SPM
82%
13%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SDV
4 - 2
UDS
29%
23%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
UDG
3 - 2
UDS
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |