Arucas vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
VER
3 - 2
ARU
51%
24%
26%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ARU
3 - 0
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARU
1 - 2
UPR
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ARU
3 - 0
UDS
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
UNV
4 - 2
ARU
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
UPR
1 - 0
UDI
64%
22%
14%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SDT
5 - 1
UDI
82%
13%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 0
GUI
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 0
UDI
63%
21%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 2
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |