Aruba U20 vs Barbados Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GTM
5 - 0
ARU
72%
16%
13%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 4
ARU
10%
13%
77%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARU
1 - 1
CUR
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
GTM
2 - 1
ARU
86%
11%
3%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
ARU
1 - 4
SLV
7%
16%
77%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Barbados Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 2
SMA
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
BAR
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GTM
3 - 1
BAR
70%
17%
12%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
VYG
85%
12%
3%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 0
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |