Aruan Nartkala vs Avtodor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
KAV
1 - 0
ARN
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2001 |
ARN
0 - 1
DYS
30%
27%
44%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
SUA
4 - 2
ARN
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
FKM
0 - 1
ARN
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
ARN
1 - 0
DIN
21%
25%
54%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Avtodor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
AVV
2 - 0
AST
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2001 |
KRD
5 - 4
AVV
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
AVV
1 - 2
SHA
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
AVV
1 - 2
SKA
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
TOT
0 - 4
AVV
14%
22%
65%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |