Arua Hill vs Uganda Revenue Authority analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
AHS
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
AHS
0 - 0
OND
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
EXP
0 - 2
AHS
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
AHS
15%
19%
65%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -11 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
AHS
3 - 2
UPD
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
URA
3 - 1
UPD
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
URA
2 - 1
UPD
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
KYE
1 - 0
URA
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
URA
3 - 1
UGA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
VIP
1 - 1
URA
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |