Arua Hill vs KCCA FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
GAD
1 - 0
AHS
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
AHS
3 - 2
URA
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
AHS
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
AHS
0 - 0
OND
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
EXP
0 - 2
AHS
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KCCA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
KCC
2 - 1
UPD
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
KCC
35%
28%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
KCC
2 - 0
SOA
58%
22%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
JIN
0 - 1
KCC
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
KCC
2 - 1
GAD
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |