Premier League Round 12

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis

Arsenal Tottenham Hotspur
93 ELO 83
8% Tilt 7.7%
16º General ELO ranking 56º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
78%
Arsenal
14.4%
Draw
7.6%
Tottenham Hotspur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.6%
Win probability
Tottenham Hotspur
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+1%
-2%
Tottenham Hotspur

ELO progression

Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2003
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Dynamo Kyiv
DYN
74%
16%
10%
93 85 8 0
01 Nov. 2003
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 4
Arsenal
ARS
21%
25%
54%
92 85 7 +1
28 Oct. 2003
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Rotherham United
ROT
85%
11%
4%
93 63 30 -1
26 Oct. 2003
CHA
Charlton Athletic
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
17%
23%
60%
93 81 12 0
21 Oct. 2003
DYN
Dynamo Kyiv
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
24%
25%
51%
93 85 8 0

Matches

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2003
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
61%
21%
17%
83 79 4 0
29 Oct. 2003
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 0
West Ham
WHU
58%
22%
20%
83 81 2 0
26 Oct. 2003
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
59%
23%
18%
83 83 0 0
19 Oct. 2003
LEI
Leicester
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
37%
26%
37%
83 79 4 0
04 Oct. 2003
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
3 - 0
Everton
EVE
55%
23%
23%
83 83 0 0