Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1954 |
PNE
0 - 1
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 1
CAR
85%
10%
6%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 4
SUN
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
WOL
0 - 2
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1954 |
TOT
2 - 0
HUL
81%
12%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1954 |
HUL
1 - 1
TOT
41%
24%
36%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 0
TOT
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
TOT
3 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
LIV
2 - 2
TOT
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |