Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
MAC
3 - 3
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
PNE
0 - 1
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1911 |
ARS
2 - 0
BRA
39%
28%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
BOL
3 - 0
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 2
OLD
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
SHE
1 - 2
SUN
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 2
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |