Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
BBU
2 - 3
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
ARS
2 - 1
STO
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
ARS
2 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
SHE
4 - 2
ARS
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 0
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
0 - 2
DER
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 0
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
STO
2 - 2
SUN
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |