Arsenal vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ARS
4 - 1
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BBU
1 - 2
ARS
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ARS
6 - 0
BPO
84%
12%
5%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
WAR
5 - 6
ARS
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FCP
3 - 2
SPB
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
SEV
3 - 4
SPB
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VST
0 - 0
SPB
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 0
SEV
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |