Arsenal vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
ARS
14%
20%
66%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 3
ARS
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 1
OLP
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
45%
25%
30%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ARS
6 - 1
COV
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BVB
1 - 2
S04
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
S04
3 - 0
WOL
66%
20%
15%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
S04
2 - 2
MPL
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
F95
2 - 2
S04
18%
24%
59%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
S04
3 - 0
M05
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |