Arsenal vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SWA
0 - 2
ARS
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
BYM
0 - 2
ARS
71%
18%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 3
BYM
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MUD
1 - 0
REA
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
REA
1 - 2
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 1
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
REA
0 - 3
WIG
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 1
REA
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |