Arsenal vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 1
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 2
FUL
79%
14%
7%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
CRY
0 - 1
ARS
18%
23%
59%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 1
NTT
84%
12%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PSV
4 - 0
NEC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RKC
0 - 4
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
5 - 1
GLA
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
GLA
2 - 2
PSV
22%
21%
57%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 3
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |