Arsenal vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1893 |
NOR
2 - 2
ARS
22%
22%
57%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1893 |
BUR
6 - 2
ARS
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1893 |
ARS
3 - 0
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1893 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1893 |
ARS
0 - 5
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1893 |
POR
3 - 1
BUR
35%
24%
42%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1893 |
CRE
1 - 1
POR
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1893 |
POR
6 - 1
GRI
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1893 |
GRI
4 - 0
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1893 |
POR
1 - 0
NOT
25%
22%
53%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |