Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1995 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1995 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ARS
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1995 |
ARS
0 - 0
WIM
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1995 |
SAM
3 - 2
ARS
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1995 |
TRA
1 - 1
MID
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
MID
2 - 1
LUT
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
BAR
1 - 1
MID
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
MID
1 - 1
SHE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
NOT
1 - 1
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |