Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
HUR
0 - 0
ARS
42%
25%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
BOL
1 - 3
ARS
48%
24%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
HUR
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1947 |
LEE
1 - 1
ARS
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1947 |
ARS
4 - 1
PNE
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
MID
1 - 2
CHA
68%
17%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
MID
4 - 0
EVE
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
CHA
3 - 3
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
OPA
3 - 1
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1947 |
MID
0 - 1
BBU
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |