Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
LEI
0 - 2
ARS
42%
25%
34%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
LEE
4 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
ARS
3 - 1
BOL
63%
21%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
PNE
2 - 1
ARS
48%
25%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1939 |
MID
8 - 2
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
HUR
0 - 1
MID
44%
24%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
MID
4 - 4
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
WOL
6 - 1
MID
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
MID
3 - 0
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |